Chinese labs successfully crank up sparsity to cope with compute shortage; AI math progress broadens a bit outside number theory and combinatorics (see below); Rome Declaration (Physics and Peace Nobelists)…
Economists warn about AI transformation; Economists model quiet AI takeoff; Hassabis proposes federal AI oversight; OpenAI safety leaders depart; NYT reports AI-aided terrorism Economics Very brief 90-word letter signed by…
OpenAI internal inference grows 100x; GPT-5.6, Grok, Muse released; Mythos access returns abroad; Paper detects training versus inference; AI generates 25% of sampled web content Economics OpenAI’s internal inference grows…
Anthropic find an analogue of working memory in Claude. Many suggestive but inconclusive ties to human cognition, consciousness, and selfhood; Fable suddenly re-released on general access. Dario nominally sidelined; Commerce…
Anthropic API margin exceeds 80%; AISI frames capability as compute curve; AI loss-of-control worries Hill staffers; LLM-only conversations form attractor states; Anthropic detects Chinese Claude Code access Economics Annals of…
OpenAI reportedly halves inference GPUs; Autoresearch improves neural decoding; Mythos returns to 100 trusted US organizations; FRI releases risk-focused panel findings; DeepMind Pentagon management criticized Economics Gossipy claim that OpenAI…
Local grids constrain datacenter buildout; Google researchers leave for Anthropic; CAISI reportedly receives stop-work order; Transcript replay simulates deployment Economics More analysis of the datacenter electricity bottleneck on the AI…
xAI compute gets leased away; Kokotajlo forecast gets retrospective review; LeCun promotes decentralized training consortium; Fine-tuning erases model-organism deception; Open cyber models may pose greater risk Economics What is left…
SpaceX to buy Cursor after IPO; DeepMind maps paths from AGI to ASI; Anthropic releases Advanced AI Framework; OpenAI claims emergent RL alignment; LLMs could scale personalized scams Economics SpaceX…
Chad Jones models AI growth limits; Compute-rich pretraining algorithm proposed; White House pressured foreign lab researchers; SFT drives Gemini safety properties; UK cyber agencies tested frontier AI Economics Annals of…
Kapoor doubts software job automation; Corrected FrontierMath results; Anthropic backlash follows Mythos/Fable rollout; Sequent Research launches alignment NGO; Fable verifies coder identity via GitHub Economics Annals of denial: Kapoor argues…
UK study finds entry-level jobs shrinking; Dwarkesh argues data quality drives progress; OpenAI hints at slowdown cooperation; Alignment tax gets formalized; Epoch tracks AI vulnerability discovery Economics UK gov /…
Ball and Leicht propose labor policies; Agents reproduce private Google crypto work; CAIS argues AI geopolitics favors offense; LURE reduces eval awareness; Adaptive LLM worms demonstrated Economics Dean Ball and…
GDP understates AI growth; Pure RL increases tool-use cheating; OpenAI releases Frontier Governance Framework; Resampling detects malicious hidden outputs; Meta support agent exposes vulnerability Economics Claim (from Anthropic board advisor)…
Epoch explains modern inference; Automated R&D may still slow; Illinois passes AI audit bill; Models detect evaluation environments; Starlette compromise hits AI tooling Economics Epoch release the best explainer of…
US intelligence buys $9B datacenters; Zyphra explores backprop alternatives; Pope?s first encyclical targets AI; Antitrust blocks lab safety collaboration; Hugging Face Datasets red-teamed Economics USG buys $9b of AI datacenters…
OpenAI prepares IPO filing; LLMs acquire skills in similar order; Trump postpones AI safety order; AISI interviews show oversight gaps Economics OpenAI supposedly preparing to file “in the coming weeks”…
Compute shortages drive Google departures; Gemini 3.2 predictions emphasize benchmarks; US public leads global AI worry; Verifiability gap threatens alignment; Musk’s lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft Economics Explanation for recent…
OpenAI Foundation can underwrite insurance; Frontier models build GBA emulators; Xi-Trump agenda includes AI; Secret loyalties become research agenda; ArXiv bans unchecked LLM-generated submissions Economics The OpenAI Foundation has an…
AI uplift metrics get debated; Thinking Machines demos duplex speech model; CAISI testing announcement disappears; Redwood reviews OpenAI CoT error; Google foils AI-assisted zero-day Economics High-level debate about the correct…
xAI rents Colossus to Anthropic; Manual checks slow METR estimates; White House considers bilateral AI talks; Anthropic translates activations into English; Mythos boosts Mozilla security fixes Economics xAI rents their…
Anthropic partners with Wall Street; Jack Clark puts 60% on no-human; White House considers pre-release AI vetting; Exploration hacking gets demonstrated; UAE claims Iran uses cyber agents Economics Anthropic joint…
Anthropic may raise $50B; Mesa launches agent filesystem beta; Google signs a classified AI deal; System-prompt effects leak beyond prompts Economics Anthropic could raise a new $50B round at a…
Google is investing 10B in Anthropic; Qiaochu Yuan praises GPT-5.5 math; AVERI surveys frontier-auditing bills; Greenblatt calls current AIs misaligned; OpenAI flagged shooter?s account Economics Google is investing $10B in…
Anthropic expands AWS compute partnership; Frontier labs use rival models internally; White House backs anti-distillation campaign; Models struggle to control their chain-of-thought; Discord group accessed Mythos Economics Weekly giant cash…
OpenAI buys Cerebras rentals with warrants; Researchers forecast ASARA progress; NSA uses Mythos despite DoW blacklist; Mythos reviews Opus system card; Signal verification moonshot launches Economics Another funny OpenAI deal…
Safety-positive startups enable distributed AGI; AI solves active math problem; Maine passes first datacenter moratorium; Models share simple goodness representation; Security scanner finds critical vulnerabilities Economics What kinds of AI…
Epoch compute report maps global supply; Opus catches OpenAI on cyber; Court leaves Anthropic ban partly intact; Influence functions become attack vector; Costs of cybercrime have doubled since 2022 Economics…
Cunningham models AI R&D economics; Greenblatt warns about automation progress; OpenAI releases AI policy whitepaper; Subliminal-learning paper shows thought-virus attack; Silicon sampling misleads surveys Economics Beautiful work from Tom Cunningham…
Semianalysis explains parameter-count stagnation; Epoch and METR prepare HCAST replacement; IRGC names US tech targets; Model welfare story gets investigated; Linux receives real AI bug reports Economics Semianalysis hypothesis for…
FRI surveys economists on AI; Reasoning models excel at offensive cybersecurity; Sacks exits White House AI role; Safety leaders report timelines and risks; AI zero-day claim holds up Economics FRI…
Anthropic discusses Q4 IPO; AGI claims remain unconvincing; Judge blocks one AI statute; OpenAI Foundation launches; LiteLLM gateway gets compromised Economics Anthropic discusses a Q4 2026 IPO, raising $60B. This…
Gulf war threatens AI supply chain; Opus improves at computer use; Black-box techniques remain strong; Leo Gao runs large AI poll; Fabien Roger summarizes safety discoveries; AI error triggers deletion…
Codex reaches 2M weekly users; Altman predicts new model architecture; Public AI concern centers jobs; xAI sued over Grok spicy mode; Acemoglu warns agents weaken knowledge Economics OpenAI applications CEO…
Frontier-lab lead remains robust; SWE-Bench Verified remains unreliable; GPT-5.4 appears to solve FrontierMath problem; US urges customers to drop Anthropic; Claude Constitution enables alignment tests Economics The OpenAI/Anthropic/Deepmind lead remains…
Cursor faces coding-agent pressure; Karpathy autoresearch beats nanochat record; Eon simulates fruit-fly brain model; Anthropic lawsuits against USG published; Scheming discourse gets taxonomy Economics The most successful of all the…
Anthropic revenue doubled in under 3 months; Ajeya Cotra raises automation odds; AI speeds formal math 8x; Anthropic designated supply-chain risk; CoT controllability becomes safety metric Economics Anthropic revenue doubled…
110b funding for OpenAI triples their total; Surprising evidence that different vision skills compete; Anthropic-Hegseth-OpenAI picture stays muddy; RSP v3 assumes inevitable race Economics “$110b” funding for OpenAI ($50B from…
Anthropic employee equity sale; Anthropic says internal models lag Opus; LRM training fails no-CoT gains; Anthropic/DOD confrontation still unresolved; Anthropic RSP drops unilateral pause; Anthropic warns about massive Chinese distillation…
Taalas hard-wires models for "10x" efficiency. Doesn't work for MoEs; Claude Code peak session length doubles; Altman floats an IAEA for AI; AISI shares a general method for breaking safeguards…